Economics and Finance Research Guide (IMF): Forecasts

Information on the assumptions to be used in preparing the baseline projections for the WEO

Information on the assumptions to be used in preparing the baseline projections for the WEO.

The World Economic Outlook presents the IMF staff's analysis and projections of economic developments at the global level, in major country groups (classified by region, analytical group, stage of development, etc.), and in many individual countries. It focuses on major economic policy issues as well as on the analysis of economic developments and prospects.

Current and historical economic information, and financial information on individual equities, stock market indices, fixed-income securities, currencies, commodities, and futures for both international and US domestic markets. Use Command ECFC to display economic forecasts/indicators; BYFC for interest rates yield forecasts. 21 multi-use kiosks throughout HQ1 and HQ2 and in the library, HQ1-C-650. Open to all IMF staff.

Each month, annual forecasts for 15 key U.S. economic indicators are collected from more than 50 leading business economists and used to derive the Blue Chip consensus. Available in Haver. Open to all IMF staff.

New! Provides forecasts for outbreaks of political violence and escalations into internal armed conflict. Forecast method is based on many years of academic research and millions of newspaper articles through automated summaries.

Weekly and monthly forecasts cover estimates for the principal macroeconomic variables in over 70 countries. Insightful written analysis is published in the PDF files. Produced by Consensus Economics. Available in EcOS and on the library website. Open to all IMF staff.

Country analysis and forecasts, risk assessments, economic and market data, daily news analysis, industry trends and management strategies in more than 200 countries. Subscription includes EIU Country Reports, ViewsWire, EIU Market Indicators & Forecasts Plus; Country Data; EIU Country Risk Model; City Data; World Investment Service; World Investment Prospects. Open to all IMF staff.

Financial data on banks, insurance firms, corporates and sovereigns, offering up to 3 years of forecast and 30 years of historical data. Open to all IMF staff.

Interactive Charts data tool for countries, global and sub/regional data (aggregate data), macro data and industry data. 10 year forecast and 30 year historic, visualization tools. Open to all IMF staff.

Consensus forecasts and historical data for the Sub-Saharan African countries: Angola, Botswana, Côte d’Ivoire, DRC, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania​, Uganda, and Zambia. Open to all IMF staff.

Provides research and analysis on global economic developments with a focus on emerging markets, capital flows, and developments in international financial markets. Available in Haver and on the IIF website. Open to all IMF staff.

Historical and forecast data from Oxford Economics on the Datastream platform. Coverage includes long-term forecasts 25 years out, history from the 1980’s. Coverage is of 200 countries and 34 regions, totaling over 79,000 series.